Last Updated on September 12, 2026 by Deon
AUD USD Price Outlook
The AUD USD pair ended Friday higher gaining 0.38 percent to trade near 0.7171. However the Australian Dollar still finished the week 0.45 percent lower as more chances for a Federal Reserve rate hike helped the US Dollar.
Even though there was a drop the technical situation looks positive. The Relative Strength Index is showing buying pressure, which means buyers may try to go higher again if important resistance is passed.
0.7237 is still the main resistance level
The main number to watch is 0.7237, which is the high of the doji candle that happened on September 9. If there is a move above this number the positive outlook will get stronger and buyers may try to aim for the next resistance at 0.7277.
Once 0.7277 is passed the number 0.7300 becomes the major target for the upside. A move that stays above 0.7300 may mean that the overall positive pattern is getting stronger.
Fed predictions keep the US Dollar strong
The main problem for AUD USD buyers is the changing view on US money policy. More chances of a Federal Reserve rate increase have helped the US Dollar. Made it hard for the Australian Dollar to move up.
A stronger US Dollar can make it harder for AUD USD to pass resistance especially if new US economic data supports the idea of a Fed policy.
At the time people are paying attention to expectations for Australian money policy. Any more help for the Dollar could allow the pair to try to reach its recent highs.
Support at 0.7150 on the downside
On the side 0.7150 is the first important support area. This number is the low from September 11. Could become a key short-term turning point.
If AUD USD goes below 0.7150 the pressure to sell could grow towards 0.7100. A bigger drop might then show the 100-day SMA near 0.7080 followed by the 50-day SMA around 0.7066.
So the 0.7150 number will be important for seeing if the current positive pattern’s still there.
AUD USD Technical Levels to Watch
Level Importance
0.7300 psychological resistance
0.7277 Next upside target
0.7237 Key breakout resistance
0.7171 Recent trading level
0.7150 Initial downside support
0.7100 Secondary support
0.7080 100-day SMA support
0.7066 50-day SMA support
AUD USD Forecast
The short-term outlook is still somewhat positive as long as AUD USD stays above 0.7150. Positive RSI movement gives support. Buyers need a clear move above 0.7237 to show new chances for the price to go up.
A move above 0.7237 could bring 0.7277 and 0.7300 into view. On the hand a move below 0.7150 would make the positive setup weaker and increase the chance of a drop towards 0.7100 and the moving-average supports.
Overall, 0.7237 and 0.7150 are the two numbers to watch as people look at the next move, for AUD USD.
