Gold and Silver: Investor Risk Aversion is Shaken by Volatility – Commerzbank

Gold and Silver: Investor Risk Aversion is Shaken by Volatility – Commerzbank

Last Updated on February 10, 2026 by Deon

Volatility in precious metals has trainer scared were, with the price of gold and silver making wild fluctuations. “Extreme volatility has become characteristic for the market and is more and more unwelcome by both short-time traders and long-term investors,” said Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch.

As prices for both metals have spiked and dipped by large amounts over the course of a few days, confidence has noticeably declined (perceived as by design). Although gold and silver also reached all-time nominal highs in the past few months, their volatility has eclipsed these advances.

Rapid Price Changes Lead to Market Uncertainty

In the last week, the gold and silver markets have experienced enormous price fluctuations. Gold jumped almost 4 percent in a single day after falling by nearly the same amount the previous day. Silver’s moves were even more extreme, jumping about 10% in a single day.

Gold, at one point that day trading above $5,000 an ounce, nearly $400 above its recent low. At the same time, silver shot above $80 an ounce, nearly $20 higher than its prior low point.

Investors have had a hard time keeping up with these fast-paced changes to make predictions about the short term. Many in the market are thus simply opting to decrease their exposure to avoid a sudden hit in case of loss.

ETF Redemptions Indicate Waning Investor Belief

A clear signal of waning sentiment is the shift in exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Gold exchange-traded funds saw a 20-ton one-week outflow, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The following was the first weekly outflow in five weeks and the biggest since late October.

ETF buying was initially around 700 tons in silver, signalling some early optimism. But most of that was from a huge inflow at the start of the week. In the days that followed, outflows made a comeback, suggesting investors were becoming increasingly cautious.

This ebb and flow of ETF money is clear evidence that confidence levels are shaky at best, as few investors seem willing to put their money to work in such uncertain times.

Speculative Positions Decline on COMEX

Speculative trading has been knocked around by volatility too. COMEX futures exchange -Gold and silver speculators are cutting their net long positions in both gold and silver.

This fall indicates that short-term traders are stepping aside, not willing to put out too much in an undeterministic market. Less speculative interest tends to result in less liquidity, and price gyrations become exaggerated.

China Market Disruption Fuels Anxiety

The mood was also sapped by news from China. Trading was temporarily paused in a popular silver fund following heavy market activity. Prices slid by the 10% daily stock-market limit when trading reopened.

These sorts of shocks emphasize how frangible sentiment can be in the markets. For all international investors, this episode exacerbated concerns that volatility can go out of control with little warning.

Prices Fall to Multi-Year Lows

Even though they had hit all-time highs previously, gold and silver are back to their lowest prices in almost two years. The reversal has raised questions about whether recent rallies can be sustained.

For a lot of investors, it is offered that the short-term approach is more attractive now than holding long term — at least over the next little bit.

Short-Term Outlook Remains Uncertain

Commerzbank analysis: Precious metals market remains in the doldrums according to Commerzbank. Gold and silver, still commonly seen as hedges against inflation and financial turmoil, have lately faltered in their traditional role as “safe haven” investments.

Investors are likely to be skittish until prices hold firm. Market participants may choose to wait for more definitive signs from inflation trends, central bank action and the overall world economy before recommitting in a significant way.

Conclusion: Trust Requires Stability

The recent spikes in volatility however have embedded the effects into gold and silver investor consciousness. Large price gyrations, outflows from ETFs, less speculation and market disruptions all contributed to lost confidence.

 

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